Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4.06%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
4.06%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
4.07%
decreased by 0.06%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2125 | 6.30 | |
| 0.0390 | 7.81 | |
| 0.9554 | 173.45 | |
| 0.0004 | 1.34 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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