Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 23rd, 2026:2.89% (-0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2125 | 6.30 | |
| 0.0390 | 7.81 | |
| 0.9554 | 173.45 | |
| 0.0004 | 1.34 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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