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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

4.06%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

4.06%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

4.07%

decreased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω1.21256.30
α0.03907.81
β0.9554173.45
γ10.00041.34
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025