Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
4.67%
increased by 0.23%
1 Week
4.67%
increased by 0.23%
1 Month
4.69%
increased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1055 | 6.66 | |
| 0.0369 | 40.52 | |
| 0.9963 | 1,723.68 | |
| 8.9226 | 4.90 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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