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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

4.20%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

4.21%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

4.24%

decreased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.10556.66
α0.036940.52
β0.99631,723.68
ν8.92264.90
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025