Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4.52%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
4.51%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
4.49%
decreased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0682 | 8.16 | |
| 0.0384 | 32.46 | |
| 0.9933 | 1,139.15 | |
| 8.8257 | 4.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
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