Bloomberg US Government/Credit Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4.38%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
4.38%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
4.39%
decreased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0854 | 8.59 | |
| 0.0345 | 32.50 | |
| 0.9939 | 1,217.99 | |
| 9.4634 | 3.61 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
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