Bloomberg US Government/Credit Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
4.69%
increased by 0.23%
1 Week
4.69%
increased by 0.23%
1 Month
4.66%
increased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1771 | 9.72 | |
| 0.0377 | 7.58 | |
| 0.9549 | 171.15 | |
| 0.0003 | 1.76 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
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