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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Municipal Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3.69%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

4.06%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Month

4.69%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg US Municipal Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.89605.08
α0.28279.61
β0.594418.44
γ1-0.1698-2.60
γ20.25332.82
γ3-0.1346-2.89
γ40.10012.01
γ5-0.1114-1.80
γ60.19003.09
γ7-0.2112-5.14
Estimation Period:
Sep 18, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025