Bloomberg US Municipal Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 23rd, 2026:3.21% (-0.25%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8960 | 5.08 | |
| 0.2827 | 9.61 | |
| 0.5944 | 18.44 | |
| -0.1698 | -2.60 | |
| 0.2533 | 2.82 | |
| -0.1346 | -2.89 | |
| 0.1001 | 2.01 | |
| -0.1114 | -1.80 | |
| 0.1900 | 3.09 | |
| -0.2112 | -5.14 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 18, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025
Sep 18, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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