Bloomberg US Municipal Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2.48%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Week
2.58%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Month
2.82%
decreased by 0.17%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0434 | 5.89 | |
| 0.1773 | 30.17 | |
| 0.9494 | 113.79 | |
| 3.2479 | 22.60 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 18, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025
Sep 18, 2001 to Apr 4, 2025
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