Bloomberg US Long Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
9.78%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
9.80%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
9.88%
decreased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5896 | 7.44 | |
| 0.0361 | 39.48 | |
| 0.9964 | 1,801.79 | |
| 10.5300 | 3.79 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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