Bloomberg US Long Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
9.49%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
9.51%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Month
9.59%
decreased by 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0020 | 9.34 | |
| 0.0428 | 16.14 | |
| 0.9607 | 813.50 | |
| -0.0136 | -3.81 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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