Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
5.08%
increased by 0.34%
1 Week
5.07%
increased by 0.33%
1 Month
5.03%
increased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0006 | 17.50 | |
| 0.0337 | 17.34 | |
| 0.9514 | 630.48 | |
| 0.0149 | 4.33 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
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