Bloomberg US MBS Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
6.86%
increased by 0.69%
1 Week
6.87%
increased by 0.70%
1 Month
6.90%
increased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0002 | 15.08 | |
| 0.0446 | 15.90 | |
| 0.9310 | 508.17 | |
| 0.0489 | 9.93 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Other Bloomberg US MBS Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Bond Indices