Skip to main content
V-Lab

ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

5.07%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

5.19%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

5.68%

increased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.002627.55
α0.122829.24
β0.8268292.28
γ0.100712.48
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026