ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
1 Day
7.01%
increased by 0.30%
1 Week
7.10%
increased by 0.39%
1 Month
7.47%
increased by 0.76%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0026 | 27.53 | |
| 0.1242 | 29.20 | |
| 0.8255 | 289.14 | |
| 0.1006 | 12.34 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026
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