ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.74%
decreased by 2.92%
1 Week
12.13%
increased by 5.47%
1 Month
2,284.66%
increased by 2,278.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.6576 | 6,575,800.00 | |
| 0.0924 | 924,200.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0106 | 9.91 | |
| 0.9043 | 60.76 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026
Other ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Bond Indices