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V-Lab

ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026

1 Day

1.14%

decreased by 3.41%

1 Week

1.72%

decreased by 2.83%

1 Month

3.65%

decreased by 0.90%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m26
α0.65886,588,240.00
β0.0912911,760.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.823512.60
λ20.917611.84
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026