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V-Lab

ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3.74%

decreased by 2.92%

1 Week

12.13%

increased by 5.47%

1 Month

2,284.66%

increased by 2,278.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m21
α0.65766,575,800.00
β0.0924924,200.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.01069.91
λ20.904360.76
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026