ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
1 Day
1.14%
decreased by 3.41%
1 Week
1.72%
decreased by 2.83%
1 Month
3.65%
decreased by 0.90%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.6588 | 6,588,240.00 | |
| 0.0912 | 911,760.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.8235 | 12.60 | |
| 0.9176 | 11.84 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Mar 27, 2026
Other ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Bond Indices