ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.20% (-0.26%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1008 | 3.47 | |
| 0.2025 | 12.29 | |
| 0.7748 | 49.12 | |
| 0.0953 | 1.64 | |
| -0.2784 | -3.16 | |
| 0.3836 | 6.13 | |
| -0.3642 | -6.67 | |
| 0.2717 | 4.64 | |
| -0.1584 | -2.58 | |
| 0.1208 | 1.77 | |
| -0.2065 | -2.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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