ICE BofA AAA-A Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:1.74% (+0.36%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5593 | 6.06 | |
| 0.0668 | 5.67 | |
| 0.8836 | 56.84 | |
| 0.0805 | 1.35 | |
| -0.1674 | -1.99 | |
| 0.2455 | 4.84 | |
| -0.3580 | -6.99 | |
| 0.3275 | 5.77 | |
| -0.1943 | -3.55 | |
| 0.1758 | 3.40 | |
| -0.1287 | -2.48 | |
| -0.2042 | -2.83 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to Jan 23, 2026
Jan 1, 1999 to Jan 23, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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