Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:2.72% (+0.21%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2292 | 9.83 | |
| 0.0329 | 7.41 | |
| 0.9590 | 176.25 | |
| 0.0006 | 0.72 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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