ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:1.78% (-0.14%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0978 | 3.24 | |
| 0.2448 | 10.61 | |
| 0.7402 | 35.68 | |
| 0.1506 | 2.56 | |
| -0.3609 | -3.37 | |
| 0.4146 | 4.15 | |
| -0.3465 | -4.72 | |
| 0.2224 | 3.51 | |
| -0.1152 | -1.84 | |
| 0.1060 | 1.56 | |
| -0.2823 | -2.59 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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