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V-Lab

ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3.62%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

3.70%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

4.04%

increased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of ICE BofA Single-B US High Yield Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.001327.45
α0.118527.24
β0.7997202.24
γ0.163718.20
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to May 15, 2026