Bloomberg US Government/Credit Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4.32%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Week
4.33%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
4.35%
decreased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0006 | 17.91 | |
| 0.0370 | 17.64 | |
| 0.9550 | 682.17 | |
| 0.0017 | 0.51 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
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