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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026

1 Day

4.40%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

4.40%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

4.41%

increased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.000412.40
α0.043017.52
β0.9584765.47
γ-0.0127-3.54
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025