Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4.03%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
4.04%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
4.07%
decreased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0004 | 12.40 | |
| 0.0430 | 17.52 | |
| 0.9584 | 765.47 | |
| -0.0127 | -3.54 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Other Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Bond Indices