Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 23rd, 2026:2.93% (-0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0004 | 12.40 | |
| 0.0430 | 17.52 | |
| 0.9584 | 765.47 | |
| -0.0127 | -3.54 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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