Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
4.40%
increased by 0.15%
1 Week
4.40%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
4.41%
increased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0004 | 12.40 | |
| 0.0430 | 17.52 | |
| 0.9584 | 765.47 | |
| -0.0127 | -3.54 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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