Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

3.65%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

3.65%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

3.65%

decreased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged EUR GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 1998 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0006
16.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0425
18.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9337
400.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0239
4.69***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days