Bloomberg China Treasury + Policy Bank Bond Index Total Return Unhedged CNY Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:23.27% (0.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7916 | 3.60 | |
| 0.4230 | 4.95 | |
| 0.1114 | 1.51 | |
| 2.7983 | 3.76 | |
| -3.7059 | -3.24 | |
| 1.7549 | 2.23 | |
| -2.5249 | -3.26 | |
| 3.1360 | 3.30 | |
| -2.5345 | -3.06 | |
| 2.3459 | 3.29 | |
| -1.7957 | -2.20 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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