Bloomberg China Treasury + Policy Bank Bond Index Total Return Unhedged CNY Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 23rd, 2026:1.39% (-0.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7763 | 3.58 | |
| 0.4247 | 4.95 | |
| 0.1114 | 1.51 | |
| 2.7585 | 3.71 | |
| -3.6440 | -3.19 | |
| 1.7176 | 2.19 | |
| -2.5030 | -3.24 | |
| 3.1324 | 3.31 | |
| -2.5590 | -3.17 | |
| 2.4286 | 3.86 | |
| -2.0301 | -5.22 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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