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V-Lab

Bloomberg China Treasury + Policy Bank Bond Index Total Return Unhedged CNY Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

1.19%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

1.47%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

1.60%

increased by 0.37%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg China Treasury + Policy Bank Bond Index Total Return Unhedged CNY S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω1.77633.58
α0.42474.95
β0.11141.51
γ12.75853.71
γ2-3.6440-3.19
γ31.71762.19
γ4-2.5030-3.24
γ53.13243.31
γ6-2.5590-3.17
γ72.42863.86
γ8-2.0301-5.22
Estimation Period:
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025