Bloomberg China Treasury + Policy Bank Bond Index Total Return Unhedged CNY Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
1.23%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
1.51%
increased by 0.28%
1 Month
1.64%
increased by 0.41%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7763 | 3.58 | |
| 0.4247 | 4.95 | |
| 0.1114 | 1.51 | |
| 2.7585 | 3.71 | |
| -3.6440 | -3.19 | |
| 1.7176 | 2.19 | |
| -2.5030 | -3.24 | |
| 3.1324 | 3.31 | |
| -2.5590 | -3.17 | |
| 2.4286 | 3.86 | |
| -2.0301 | -5.22 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025
Nov 2, 2016 to Apr 4, 2025
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