Bloomberg US Credit Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
5.40%
increased by 0.34%
1 Week
5.38%
increased by 0.32%
1 Month
5.33%
increased by 0.27%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1738 | 10.21 | |
| 0.0439 | 7.17 | |
| 0.9457 | 136.74 | |
| 0.0003 | 2.05 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 4, 2025
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