ICE BofA AAA-A Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2.96%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
2.96%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
2.94%
decreased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4052 | 5.58 | |
| 0.0667 | 6.25 | |
| 0.8943 | 68.52 | |
| 0.0348 | 0.56 | |
| -0.0984 | -1.11 | |
| 0.2004 | 3.67 | |
| -0.3214 | -5.92 | |
| 0.3108 | 5.04 | |
| -0.2003 | -3.25 | |
| 0.2147 | 3.55 | |
| -0.2550 | -4.61 | |
| 0.1391 | 3.73 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 1999 to May 15, 2026
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