ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.68% (-0.24%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1167 | 3.32 | |
| 0.2038 | 12.43 | |
| 0.7757 | 50.70 | |
| 0.0850 | 1.43 | |
| -0.2620 | -2.93 | |
| 0.3712 | 5.84 | |
| -0.3501 | -6.32 | |
| 0.2518 | 4.28 | |
| -0.1230 | -2.07 | |
| 0.0475 | 0.85 | |
| -0.0388 | -0.96 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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