ICE BofA CCC & Lower US High Yield Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:4.13% (+0.02%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1206 | 3.32 | |
| 0.2043 | 12.42 | |
| 0.7753 | 50.54 | |
| 0.0863 | 1.45 | |
| -0.2644 | -2.95 | |
| 0.3733 | 5.86 | |
| -0.3517 | -6.30 | |
| 0.2527 | 4.25 | |
| -0.1235 | -2.06 | |
| 0.0482 | 0.86 | |
| -0.0397 | -0.97 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Jan 23, 2026
Jan 1, 1997 to Jan 23, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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