ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index

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ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 3-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 3-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

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CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	26
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0539	7.25***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8011	17.98***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0218	-2.61***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0014	0.64
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0530	0.92
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9418	15.15***

V-Lab

Bloomberg Global Aggregate ex-USD Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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