Bloomberg US Long Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
10.80%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
10.89%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
11.24%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0202 | 6.88 | |
| 0.0390 | 7.29 | |
| 0.9520 | 154.59 | |
| 0.0055 | 2.90 | |
| -0.0078 | -3.26 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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