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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.9205	6.97
$α$	0.0391	7.34
$β$	0.9526	157.09
$γ_{1}$	0.0018	2.04

V-Lab

Bloomberg US Long Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:10.99% (+0.54%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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