Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:8.34% (-0.10%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0165 | 11.73 | |
| 0.0813 | 17.91 | |
| 0.8967 | 180.71 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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