Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:8.20% (-0.11%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0163 | 11.63 | |
| 0.0817 | 18.04 | |
| 0.8967 | 181.38 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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