Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:8.40% (+0.10%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0167 | 11.76 | |
| 0.0828 | 18.13 | |
| 0.8950 | 179.68 | |
| 0.0020 | 0.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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