Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:3.14% (-3.80%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0682 | 681,750.00 | |
| -0.1363 | -1,363,300.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.67 | |
| 0.9799 | 1,595.88 | |
| 0.0000 | 3.33 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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