Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bloomberg Multiverse Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

4.09%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

4.10%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

4.14%

decreased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg Multiverse Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 31, 2000 to Aug 20, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
10.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7747
25.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0112
-1.84*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0006
1.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0475
1.47
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9473
26.65***

Persistence:

0.835

Half-life:

4 days