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V-Lab

T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

109.30%

increased by 34.09%

1 Week

97.06%

increased by 21.85%

1 Month

91.58%

increased by 16.37%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0113
1.88*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4688
7.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2031
5.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.3158
0.37
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1548
0.49
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8092
2.32**

Persistence:

0.582

Half-life:

1 days