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V-Lab

T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

89.64%

increased by 15.77%

1 Week

87.53%

increased by 13.66%

1 Month

84.84%

increased by 10.97%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0310
4.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4527
9.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3075
9.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5565
0.61
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1485
0.89
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7734
2.86***

Persistence:

0.637

Half-life:

2 days