V-Lab
T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
109.30%
increased by 34.09%
1 Week
97.06%
increased by 21.85%
1 Month
91.58%
increased by 16.37%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0113 | 1.88* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4688 | 7.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2031 | 5.09*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.3158 | 0.37 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1548 | 0.49 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8092 | 2.32** |
Persistence:
0.582
Half-life:
1 days
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