V-Lab
T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
89.64%
increased by 15.77%
1 Week
87.53%
increased by 13.66%
1 Month
84.84%
increased by 10.97%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0310 | 4.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4527 | 9.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3075 | 9.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.5565 | 0.61 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1485 | 0.89 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7734 | 2.86*** |
Persistence:
0.637
Half-life:
2 days
Other T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs