V-Lab
T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
84.25%
increased by 1.43%
1 Week
84.03%
increased by 1.21%
1 Month
83.98%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7654 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0309 | 1.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0589 | 0.07 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 7.2495 | 0.84 |
| γ2 | -10.6602 | -0.88 |
| γ3 | -4.8033 | -0.50 |
| γ4 | 25.3134 | 2.92*** |
| γ5 | -42.6438 | -5.82*** |
| γ6 | 47.8373 | 5.63*** |
| γ7 | -31.7415 | -4.17*** |
| γ8 | 13.3736 | 1.93* |
| γ9 | -5.6302 | -1.09 |
Persistence:
0.090
Half-life:
0 days
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