V-Lab
Defiance Daily Target 2X ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
140.86%
decreased by 6.74%
1 Week
144.07%
decreased by 3.53%
1 Month
153.58%
increased by 5.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1296 | 5.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8075 | 85.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0467 | 1.08 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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