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V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

140.86%

decreased by 6.74%

1 Week

144.07%

decreased by 3.53%

1 Month

153.58%

increased by 5.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
7.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1296
5.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8075
85.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0467
1.08

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days