MacroGenics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
69.97%
decreased by 1.90%
1 Week
72.63%
increased by 0.76%
1 Month
75.34%
increased by 3.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2013 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1376 | 2.43** |
| βGARCH | 0.6055 | 8.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.0042 | 0.05 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 23.2319 |
0.745
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1376 | 2.43** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6055 | 8.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0042 | 0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 23.2319 |
Persistence:
0.745
Half-life:
2 days
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