MacroGenics Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
70.51%
increased by 0.16%
1 Week
72.04%
increased by 1.69%
1 Month
75.54%
increased by 5.19%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2013 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1392 | 6.18*** |
| αARCH | 0.2479 | 6.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6695 | 23.29*** |
| γleverage | -0.0039 | -0.05 |
0.915
Persistence8d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1392 | 6.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2479 | 6.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6695 | 23.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0039 | -0.05 |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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