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V-Lab

MacroGenics Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

68.56%

decreased by 4.83%

1 Week

73.00%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

77.78%

increased by 4.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MacroGenics Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2013 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.9580
3.99***
αARCH0.1774
3.64***
βGARCH0.5876
9.84***
γleverage0.0822
0.07

0.765

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.9580
3.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1774
3.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5876
9.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0822
0.07

Persistence:

0.765

Half-life:

3 days