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V-Lab

Luxembourg Stock Exchange LuxX Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

27.67%

increased by 2.06%

1 Week

27.54%

increased by 1.93%

1 Month

27.04%

increased by 1.43%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Luxembourg Stock Exchange LuxX Index GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.67 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6973
6.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0641
34.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9891
557.26***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6727
6.15***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days