Skip to main content
V-Lab

IPO Tech Sofcom MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

25.54%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

37.64%

increased by 11.60%

1 Month

47.10%

increased by 21.06%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 05:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of IPO Tech Sofcom MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0143
1.42
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
8.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4963
0.38
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7926
0.81
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.264

Half-life:

1 days