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V-Lab

IPO Tech Sofcom GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

13.06%

increased by 7.05%

1 Week

13.62%

increased by 7.61%

1 Month

14.38%

increased by 8.37%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 05:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of IPO Tech Sofcom GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.08 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8691
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5544
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8140
0.01
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0763
0.00

Persistence:

0.814

Half-life:

3 days