V-Lab
IPO Tech Sofcom GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
17.00%
increased by 0.15%
1 Week
19.70%
increased by 2.85%
1 Month
20.51%
increased by 3.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 05:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1271 | 17.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0204 | 1.35 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6403 | 4.52*** |
Persistence:
0.341
Half-life:
1 days
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