Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

41.16%

increased by 3.72%

1 Week

42.53%

increased by 5.09%

1 Month

44.72%

increased by 7.28%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 172% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0552
10.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7416
31.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0950
6.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0280
0.95
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0081
1.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9885
87.22***

Persistence:

0.844

Half-life:

4 days