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V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

40.31%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

41.82%

increased by 2.33%

1 Month

44.07%

increased by 4.58%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Aug 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 170% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0554
10.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7411
31.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0942
6.61***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0280
0.95
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0081
1.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9885
86.74***

Persistence:

0.844

Half-life:

4 days