V-Lab
Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
40.31%
increased by 0.82%
1 Week
41.82%
increased by 2.33%
1 Month
44.07%
increased by 4.58%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2005 to Aug 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 170% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0554 | 10.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7411 | 31.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0942 | 6.61*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0280 | 0.95 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0081 | 1.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9885 | 86.74*** |
Persistence:
0.844
Half-life:
4 days
Other Guan Chong Bhd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities