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V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.77%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

44.96%

increased by 1.01%

1 Month

45.79%

increased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guan Chong Bhd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 165% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0527
10.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7658
36.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0869
6.42***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0309
1.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0088
1.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9874
86.38***

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days