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V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

493,445.87%

increased by 73,659.94%

1 Week

482,219.26%

increased by 62,433.33%

1 Month

441,397.92%

increased by 21,611.99%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Guan Chong Bhd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Aug 4, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.8138
86.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0905
435.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9770
5,142.02***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days