V-Lab
Guan Chong Bhd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
493,445.87%
increased by 73,659.94%
1 Week
482,219.26%
increased by 62,433.33%
1 Month
441,397.92%
increased by 21,611.99%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2005 to Aug 4, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.8138 | 86.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0905 | 435.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9770 | 5,142.02*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0000 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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