V-Lab
Guan Chong Bhd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
519,926.12%
increased by 61,456.87%
1 Week
499,857.02%
increased by 41,387.77%
1 Month
431,616.22%
decreased by 26,853.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2005 to Aug 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.8971 | 76.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0938 | 297.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9606 | 3,256.36*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0000 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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