Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

44.31%

increased by 0.71%

1 Week

44.35%

increased by 0.75%

1 Month

44.51%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 233 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0302
8.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0168
7.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
825.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0049
1.36

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

233 days