Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

42.75%

increased by 0.11%

1 Week

42.80%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

43.00%

increased by 0.36%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Aug 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 231 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0303
8.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0168
7.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
824.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0049
1.36

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

231 days