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V-Lab

Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

47.78%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

47.80%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

47.87%

increased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 238 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0301
8.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0171
8.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
824.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0046
1.27

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

238 days