Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
47.78%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
47.80%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
47.87%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2005 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 238 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0301 | 8.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0171 | 8.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9777 | 824.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0046 | 1.27 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
238 days
Other Guan Chong Bhd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities