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Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

42.05%

increased by 0.68%

1 Week

42.10%

increased by 0.73%

1 Month

42.31%

increased by 0.94%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guan Chong Bhd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2005 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 227 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~227 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0304
2.17**
αARCH0.0167
1.99**
βGARCH0.9777
205.84***
γleverage0.0050
0.34

0.997

Persistence

227d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0304
2.17**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0167
1.99**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
205.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0050
0.34

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

227 days