Skip to main content
V-Lab

Fidelity Blue Chip Growth ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

25.23%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

25.24%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

25.26%

decreased by 0.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Fidelity Blue Chip Growth ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9016
228.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1463
26.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5530
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days