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V-Lab

First Trust Enhanced Stocks Bonds & Gold ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

23.53%

decreased by 1.70%

1 Week

24.38%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

25.74%

increased by 0.51%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of First Trust Enhanced Stocks Bonds & Gold ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4268
4.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1802
1.91*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6984
14.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0600
-0.55

Persistence:

0.849

Half-life:

4 days