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V-Lab

Everflow Resources Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

304.76%

increased by 7.79%

1 Week

350.71%

increased by 53.74%

1 Month

695.35%

increased by 398.38%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Everflow Resources Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0809
7.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9039
37.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0095
0.29
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8862
0.12
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days