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V-Lab

Everflow Resources Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

347.65%

increased by 42.94%

1 Week

401.47%

increased by 96.76%

1 Month

794.48%

increased by 489.77%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everflow Resources Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0809
7.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9039
37.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0095
0.29
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8862
0.12
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days