V-Lab
Everflow Resources Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
304.76%
increased by 7.79%
1 Week
350.71%
increased by 53.74%
1 Month
695.35%
increased by 398.38%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0809 | 7.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9039 | 37.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0095 | 0.29 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8862 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
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