Everflow Resources Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
306.84%
decreased by 21.47%
1 Week
308.92%
decreased by 19.39%
1 Month
316.21%
decreased by 12.10%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2007 to Sep 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1508 | 2.22** |
| αARCH | 0.1741 | 2.55** |
| βGARCH | 0.9757 | 83.70*** |
| γleverage | 0.0008 | 0.01 |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1508 | 2.22** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1741 | 2.55** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9757 | 83.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0008 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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